Tennis · M15 Wuning · 11/09, 04:00
Prediction: Jaesung Choe vs Yuta Tomida
Team pages: Jaesung Choe · Yuta Tomida
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaesung Choe
Yuta Tomida
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jaesung Choe
5-5 (W-L)
Yuta Tomida
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jaesung Choe
0–1
Yuta Tomida
(1 last)
- 23 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaesung Choe 1527 · Yuta Tomida 1604
| Jaesung Choe | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Tomida (rating 1527 vs 1604).
- Head-to-head: Jaesung Choe 0–1 Yuta Tomida (1).
Statistics
| Jaesung Choe | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.8 | 10.9-7.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 40% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Jaesung Choe 0 – 1 Yuta Tomida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaesung Choe 0–1 Yuta Tomida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/24 ITF M15 Tanagura | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaesung Choe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Shijie Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Mattias Southcombe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
Yuta Tomida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaesung Choe vs Yuta Tomida?
Our model gives 68% to Yuta Tomida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.