Tennis · M15 Wuning · 09/09, 04:00
Prediction: Jaesung Choe vs Mattias Southcombe
Team pages: Jaesung Choe
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaesung Choe
Mattias Southcombe
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jaesung Choe
3-7 (W-L)
Mattias Southcombe
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaesung Choe 1486 · Mattias Southcombe 1456
| Jaesung Choe | Mattias Southcombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mattias Southcombe makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Jaesung Choe | Mattias Southcombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 8.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaesung Choe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Mattias Southcombe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Suk Ann M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Borisov M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Sean O Nuallain M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Jannik Opitz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Omar Kandil M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 20/04 | Vesa Ahti M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaesung Choe vs Mattias Southcombe?
Our model gives 68% to Jaesung Choe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.