Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 11/09, 20:30
Prediction: Birtan Duran vs Adrien Jonah Abarca
Team pages: Birtan Duran · Adrien Jonah Abarca
Prediction summary
Winner
Birtan Duran
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Birtan Duran
2-8 (W-L)
Adrien Jonah Abarca
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Birtan Duran 1429 · Adrien Jonah Abarca 1405
| Birtan Duran | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adrien Jonah Abarca makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Birtan Duran | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.2 | 6.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 52% |
| Break % | 23.9% | 16.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birtan Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 23/08 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Clement Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Photos Photiades UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Elijah Poritzky UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Sebastian Chodura UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birtan Duran vs Adrien Jonah Abarca?
Our model gives 63% to Birtan Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.