Tennis · M25 Sintra · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Diogo Coelho vs Gian Luca Tanner

Team pages: Gian Luca Tanner

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Diogo Coelho Gian Luca Tanner
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Coelho 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLWWLL
Gian Luca Tanner 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diogo Coelho 1504 · Gian Luca Tanner 1517
Diogo CoelhoGian Luca Tanner
Our model48%52%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Diogo Coelho makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Diogo CoelhoGian Luca Tanner
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.3-1
Games (G-P)8.7-9.311.1-9.1
Aces0.81.1
Double faults5.63
1st serve %61.4%62.8%
Break %39.2%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diogo Coelho

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Maksym Khlyvniuk
M25 Sintra
2-1 11-8 W
20/08 Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Bienvenue Bolangi
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-8 W
17/08 Peter Sychev
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-3 W
15/06 Dominique Rolland
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/09 Dorian Kos
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
13/09 Rin Kojima
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/09 Fred Gil
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/09 Josh Roe Flannelly
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/09 Tiago Cacao
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Gian Luca Tanner

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
26/04 Jesse Flores
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/04 Melih Anavatan
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/04 Rocco Piatti
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
22/04 Jayden Summers
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
15/04 Melih Anavatan
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
1-2 14-14 L
14/03 Tommaso Compagnucci
M15 Porec · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/03 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Porec · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
12/03 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M15 Porec · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/03 Dorian Stiblik
M15 Porec · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diogo Coelho vs Gian Luca Tanner?

Our model gives 73% to Gian Luca Tanner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.