Tennis · M25 Sintra · 18/09, 12:30
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Tiago Cacao
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1537 · Tiago Cacao 1544
| Alec Deckers | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 10.8 aces and 43.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.2 | 11.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ali Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Tiago Torres M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Rodrigo Ferro Duarte Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 54% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.