Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 09/09, 09:00

Prediction: Christian Langmo vs Maks Kasnikowski

Team pages: Christian Langmo · Maks Kasnikowski

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Christian Langmo Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Christian Langmo 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLW
Maks Kasnikowski 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Christian Langmo 1450 · Maks Kasnikowski 1514
Christian LangmoMaks Kasnikowski
Our model41%59%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maks Kasnikowski (rating 1450 vs 1514).

Statistics

Christian LangmoMaks Kasnikowski
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.3-1.3
Games (G-P)11-13.512.9-12.4
Aces64.6
Double faults3.31.9
1st serve %73.3%70.2%
Break %17.4%34%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Christian Langmo

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Marek Gengel
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
31/08 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/08 Max Basing
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
17/08 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
28/07 Evan Zhu
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
28/07 Pavle Marinkov
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/07 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
15/07 Yibing Wu
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Joshua Sheehy
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 19-15 W

Maks Kasnikowski

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
03/09 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
02/09 Elmer Moller
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
25/08 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
US Open · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
06/08 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
04/08 Philip Henning
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/07 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Liberec · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
25/07 Otto Virtanen
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/07 Hynek Barton
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-1 18-16 W
22/07 Eero Vasa
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Christian Langmo vs Maks Kasnikowski?

Our model gives 66% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.