Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 10/09, 16:30
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki
Team pages: Alejandro Moreno · Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
6-4 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1472 · Shion Itsusaki 1448
| Alejandro Moreno | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.3 | 9.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Jon Gamble M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Penn Charusorn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 67% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.