Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 08/09, 22:00
Prediction: Leo Pade vs Joaquin Benoit
Team pages: Leo Pade · Joaquin Benoit
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Pade
Joaquin Benoit
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Pade
3-7 (W-L)
Joaquin Benoit
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Pade 1502 · Joaquin Benoit 1580
| Leo Pade | Joaquin Benoit | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Benoit (rating 1502 vs 1580).
- Joaquin Benoit is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Joaquin Benoit makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Leo Pade | Joaquin Benoit | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 11.4-6.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Parker Mariencheck UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Iker Urribarrens UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | William McEwan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Joaquin Benoit
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Kanan Gasimov UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ben Chetewy Ungar UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | William McEwan UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Malhar Patel UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Vit Kalina UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Stepan Mruzek UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Louis Hull UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Pade vs Joaquin Benoit?
Our model gives 71% to Joaquin Benoit, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.