Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 09/09, 19:30
Prediction: Leo Pade vs Shion Itsusaki
Team pages: Leo Pade · Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Pade
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Pade
4-6 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Pade 1533 · Shion Itsusaki 1471
| Leo Pade | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Pade (rating 1533 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Leo Pade | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.6 | 10.8-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Parker Mariencheck UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Iker Urribarrens UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | William McEwan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Penn Charusorn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Pade vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 56% to Leo Pade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.