Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 09/09, 18:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Joaquin Benoit
Team pages: Alejandro Moreno · Joaquin Benoit
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Joaquin Benoit
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
7-3 (W-L)
Joaquin Benoit
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1498 · Joaquin Benoit 1557
| Alejandro Moreno | Joaquin Benoit | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Benoit (rating 1498 vs 1557).
- Note: Joaquin Benoit makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Joaquin Benoit | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.7 | 10.5-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Jon Gamble M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Joaquin Benoit
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Kanan Gasimov UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ben Chetewy Ungar UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | William McEwan UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Malhar Patel UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Vit Kalina UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Stepan Mruzek UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Joaquin Benoit?
Our model gives 59% to Joaquin Benoit, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.