Tennis · M15 Budapest · 08/09, 14:30
Prediction: Mate Valkusz vs Nikita Belozertsev
Team pages: Mate Valkusz · Nikita Belozertsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Mate Valkusz
Nikita Belozertsev
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mate Valkusz
9-1 (W-L)
Nikita Belozertsev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mate Valkusz 1577 · Nikita Belozertsev 1509
| Mate Valkusz | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mate Valkusz (rating 1577 vs 1509).
- Mate Valkusz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mate Valkusz | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-5.2 | 9.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mate Valkusz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Andrea Paolini M15 Pecs |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Kacper Knitter M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Matei Florin Breazu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Sebastian Harrison UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Milan Markovits UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Darius Florin Pop UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Filip Drab M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Nikita Belozertsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Chris Spyrou M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Kolos Kincses M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mate Valkusz vs Nikita Belozertsev?
Our model gives 68% to Mate Valkusz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.