Tennis · M15 Budapest · 08/09, 11:30
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Marko Retelj
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Marko Retelj
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Marko Retelj
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Marko Retelj
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1465 · Marko Retelj 1494
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Marko Retelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Marko Retelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.7 | 8.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Castagnola M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Gabriele Mellerio M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Wels |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Filippo Catalano M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Marko Retelj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Niklas Waldner M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Miha Vetrih M15 Store |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jonas Pelle Hartenstein M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Marko Retelj?
Our model gives 53% to Marko Retelj, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.