Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 09/09, 18:00
Prediction: Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Denny Bao
Team pages: Pepijn Bastiaansen · Denny Bao
Prediction summary
Winner
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Denny Bao
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pepijn Bastiaansen
6-4 (W-L)
Denny Bao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1530 · Denny Bao 1544
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Denny Bao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Denny Bao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.5 | 11.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pepijn Bastiaansen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Gerch M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Ben Patrick Ostheimer M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Matei Varbanciu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
Denny Bao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Nikola Plavsic UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Zavier Augustin UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Dmitri Goubin UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Maxim Groysman UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Denny Bao?
Our model gives 63% to Pepijn Bastiaansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.