Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 08/09, 19:00
Prediction: Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Team pages: Pepijn Bastiaansen · Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Prediction summary
Winner
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pepijn Bastiaansen
6-4 (W-L)
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1519 · Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas 1562
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas (rating 1519 vs 1562).
Statistics
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8 | 12.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Gerch M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Ben Patrick Ostheimer M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Matei Varbanciu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 12/03 | Sebastian Chodura UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 18/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Rodrigo Cruz M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Luiz Felipe Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Sergio Ingles Garre UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/05 | Keoni Puig Mccallan UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Sergio R Pereira UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas?
Our model gives 61% to Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.