Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 10/09, 18:00
Prediction: Denny Bao vs Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Team pages: Denny Bao · Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Prediction summary
Winner
Denny Bao
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Denny Bao
4-6 (W-L)
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denny Bao 1514 · Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas 1539
| Denny Bao | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Denny Bao | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 12.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 64% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denny Bao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Nikola Plavsic UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Zavier Augustin UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Dmitri Goubin UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 18/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Rodrigo Cruz M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Luiz Felipe Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Sergio Ingles Garre UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/05 | Keoni Puig Mccallan UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Sergio R Pereira UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denny Bao vs Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas?
Our model gives 65% to Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.