Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alex Hernandez
Team pages: Gabi Adrian Boitan · Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Alex Hernandez
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gabi Adrian Boitan
7-3 (W-L)
Alex Hernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1515 · Alex Hernandez 1498
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.3 | 9.9-12 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 36% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Ziya Ayberk Aydin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alex Hernandez?
Our model gives 57% to Gabi Adrian Boitan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.