Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 07/09, 10:30
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Gabriel Ghetu
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Gabriel Ghetu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Gabriel Ghetu
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
7-3 (W-L)
Gabriel Ghetu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1564 · Gabriel Ghetu 1590
| Alibek Kachmazov | Gabriel Ghetu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 43.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Gabriel Ghetu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.3 | 11.1-7 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Louis Wessels Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/04 | Marek Gengel M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/04 | Fares Zakaria M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/04 | Semen Pankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Cedric Stanke M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Maximilian Neuchrist M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/04 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Gabriel Ghetu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Kaya Arinc Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 15/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Rares Andrei Golescu M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Gabriel Ghetu?
Our model gives 50% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.