Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 07/09, 10:30
Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Fares Zakaria
Team pages: Arda Azkara · Fares Zakaria
Prediction summary
Winner
Arda Azkara
Fares Zakaria
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Azkara
4-6 (W-L)
Fares Zakaria
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1451 · Fares Zakaria 1501
| Arda Azkara | Fares Zakaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fares Zakaria (rating 1451 vs 1501).
- Fares Zakaria is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Arda Azkara | Fares Zakaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.8 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 25% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Turku |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Fares Zakaria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Hady Habib M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Mathys Picard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Jakub Solarski M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | William Mclennaghan M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Fares Zakaria?
Our model gives 54% to Arda Azkara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.