Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 07/09, 09:00

Prediction: Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Ergi Kirkin

Team pages: Gabi Adrian Boitan · Ergi Kirkin

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Gabi Adrian Boitan Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWLW
Ergi Kirkin 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1493 · Ergi Kirkin 1521
Gabi Adrian BoitanErgi Kirkin
Our model46%54%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Gabi Adrian BoitanErgi Kirkin
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11.7-11.411.4-11
Aces4.43
Double faults3.62.4
1st serve %75.6%72.7%
Break %35.1%52.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Ziya Ayberk Aydin
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
01/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/08 Lui Maxted
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
25/08 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
20/08 Lui Maxted
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
19/08 Alastair Gray
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
17/08 Christian Langmo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/08 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
27/07 Gabriel Debru
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
19/07 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 14-18 L

Ergi Kirkin

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Keshav Chopra
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
31/08 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/08 Togan Tokac
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Mika Brunold
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/08 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Ueberlingen
1-2 10-18 L
18/08 David Eichenseher
M25 Ueberlingen
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
10/08 Federico Zeballos
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Boris Arias
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 11-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Ergi Kirkin?

Our model gives 56% to Gabi Adrian Boitan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.