Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Cezar Cretu
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
4-6 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1490 · Cezar Cretu 1571
| Harold Mayot | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1490 vs 1571).
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.6 | 10.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 23.5% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 59% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.