Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: August Holmgren · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
August Holmgren
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
August Holmgren
3-7 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · August Holmgren 1478 · Vadym Ursu 1450
| August Holmgren | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: August Holmgren makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| August Holmgren | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-14 | 9.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 67% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.