Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: Jay Friend vs Michele Ribecai
Team pages: Jay Friend · Michele Ribecai
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Friend
Michele Ribecai
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Friend
4-6 (W-L)
Michele Ribecai
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Friend 1530 · Michele Ribecai 1542
| Jay Friend | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Michele Ribecai makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Jay Friend | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 11.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 19.8% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Friend vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 57% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.