Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: Timofey Skatov vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Timofey Skatov · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofey Skatov
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Timofey Skatov
4-6 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofey Skatov 1482 · Yanki Erel 1553
| Timofey Skatov | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanki Erel (rating 1482 vs 1553).
- Yanki Erel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Timofey Skatov | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.8 | 12.7-9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofey Skatov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Radu Albot Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofey Skatov vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 50% to Timofey Skatov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.