Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
3-7 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
1–0
Maks Kasnikowski
(1 last)
- 06 Aug2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1535 · Maks Kasnikowski 1509
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1–0 Maks Kasnikowski (1).
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.6 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1 – 0 Maks Kasnikowski (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1–0 Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Philip Henning Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 62% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.