Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Juan Pablo Ficovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Ficovich
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1401 · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1415
| Francesco Maestrelli | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Note: Francesco Maestrelli makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-14.8 | 10.8-14.2 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alexei Popyrin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?
Our model gives 58% to Francesco Maestrelli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.