Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/09, 09:00
Prediction: Keshav Chopra vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Keshav Chopra · Ergi Kirkin
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Prediction summary
Winner
Keshav Chopra
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Keshav Chopra
5-5 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keshav Chopra 1527 · Ergi Kirkin 1503
| Keshav Chopra | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Keshav Chopra | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.3 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keshav Chopra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Juan Jose Bianchi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Felix Roussel M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Henry Lieberman M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Togan Tokac Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keshav Chopra vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 56% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.