Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov
Team pages: Radu David Turcanu · Egor Agafonov
Prediction summary
Winner
Radu David Turcanu
Egor Agafonov
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Radu David Turcanu
6-4 (W-L)
Egor Agafonov
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radu David Turcanu 1553 · Egor Agafonov 1415
| Radu David Turcanu | Egor Agafonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radu David Turcanu (rating 1553 vs 1415).
- Radu David Turcanu is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Radu David Turcanu makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Egor Agafonov makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Radu David Turcanu | Egor Agafonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.4 | 9.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 26.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radu David Turcanu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Tudor Batin M25 Bacau |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Matei Todoran M25 Bacau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Egor Agafonov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kacper Knitter M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/02 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Pune · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov?
Our model gives 67% to Radu David Turcanu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.