Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/09, 14:30

Prediction: Mert Naci Turker vs Fares Zakaria

Team pages: Mert Naci Turker · Fares Zakaria

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Mert Naci Turker Fares Zakaria
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mert Naci Turker 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLLL
Fares Zakaria 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mert Naci Turker 1519 · Fares Zakaria 1474
Mert Naci TurkerFares Zakaria
Our model56%44%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mert Naci Turker (rating 1519 vs 1474).

Statistics

Mert Naci TurkerFares Zakaria
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.4-1
Games (G-P)10.4-9.611.4-11
Aces3.74.2
Double faults2.43.3
1st serve %73.7%70.1%
Break %37.3%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mert Naci Turker

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/07 Vadym Ursu
Challenger Samsun · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/07 Toufik Sahtali
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
26/07 Kuzey Kerem Bayrak
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
04/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
03/07 Melih Anavatan
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Bogdan Seleznev
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Muzammil Murtaza
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
25/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Fares Zakaria

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Alex Knaff
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 12-18 L
03/09 Hady Habib
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 7-0 W
02/09 Mathys Picard
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W
23/08 Alexis Gautier
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
18/08 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
15/08 Vincent Reisach
M15 Warsaw
1-2 16-18 L
14/08 Jakub Solarski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Yassine Smiej
M15 Warsaw
2-0 13-7 W
12/08 William Mclennaghan
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mert Naci Turker vs Fares Zakaria?

Our model gives 52% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.