Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/09, 10:30
Prediction: Togan Tokac vs Tuncay Duran
Team pages: Togan Tokac · Tuncay Duran
Prediction summary
Winner
Togan Tokac
Tuncay Duran
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Togan Tokac
7-3 (W-L)
Tuncay Duran
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Togan Tokac 1504 · Tuncay Duran 1525
| Togan Tokac | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 47.9% break avg.
- Note: Togan Tokac makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Togan Tokac | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.1 | 11.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 80.1% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Togan Tokac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Semen Pankin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Yurii Dzhavakian Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Arin Pallegar M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 01/11 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Ethan Silva UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Togan Tokac vs Tuncay Duran?
Our model gives 64% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.