Tennis · M15 Monastir · 06/09, 10:30
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
9-1 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cesar Bouchelaghem
0–1
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
(1 last)
- 05 Jul1-2 10-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1548 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1629
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1548 vs 1629).
- Head-to-head: Cesar Bouchelaghem 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1).
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.8 | 13-9.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Cesar Bouchelaghem 0 – 1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesar Bouchelaghem 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Car M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hlib Bohach Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniele Augenti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 64% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.