Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/09, 10:30

Prediction: Vito Dell'Elba vs Ergi Kirkin

Team pages: Vito Dell'Elba · Ergi Kirkin

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Vito Dell'Elba Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Vito Dell'Elba 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLW
Ergi Kirkin 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vito Dell'Elba 1503 · Ergi Kirkin 1505
Vito Dell'ElbaErgi Kirkin
Our model50%50%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Vito Dell'ElbaErgi Kirkin
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)9.5-9.111-10.5
Aces1.22.9
Double faults3.52.3
1st serve %68.1%74.7%
Break %46.7%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vito Dell'Elba

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Leo Deflandre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-3 W
08/09 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M25 Pozzuoli
0-2 7-12 L
11/08 Jake Fellows
M15 Targu Jiu
1-2 9-8 L
06/08 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/08 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Mihai David Haita
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Nicolas Parizzia
M15 Segrate
0-2 3-12 L
21/07 Adan Freire Da Silva
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M15 Gubbio
0-2 10-13 L
17/06 Mihai Alexandru Coman
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W

Ergi Kirkin

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/09 Keshav Chopra
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
31/08 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/08 Togan Tokac
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Mika Brunold
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/08 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Ueberlingen
1-2 10-18 L
18/08 David Eichenseher
M25 Ueberlingen
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
10/08 Federico Zeballos
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Boris Arias
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vito Dell'Elba vs Ergi Kirkin?

Our model gives 71% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.