Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/09, 10:30
Prediction: William Nolan vs Ewen Lumsden
Team pages: William Nolan
Prediction summary
Winner
William Nolan
Ewen Lumsden
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
William Nolan
2-8 (W-L)
Ewen Lumsden
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Nolan 1497 · Ewen Lumsden 1609
| William Nolan | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1497 vs 1609).
- Ewen Lumsden is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| William Nolan | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.3 | 11.5-5.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Nolan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Arman Zamani M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alfie King M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 03/05 | Georgios Nouchakis M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Leo Raquillet M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/04 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 26/04 | Rupert George M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Timo Legout M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 14/04 | Bastian Malla M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Hignett UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/05 | Finlay Watters UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/05 | Alvar Lange UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Emile Hudd M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alexis Canter M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/03 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Nolan vs Ewen Lumsden?
Our model gives 64% to Ewen Lumsden, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.