Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/09, 10:30

Prediction: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri vs Sven Corbinais

Team pages: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri · Sven Corbinais

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Sven Corbinais
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLWL
Sven Corbinais 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 1447 · Sven Corbinais 1521
Samuel Vincent RuggeriSven Corbinais
Our model40%60%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sven Corbinais (rating 1447 vs 1521).
  • Sven Corbinais is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri makes many double faults (5.6/match).
  • Note: Sven Corbinais makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Samuel Vincent RuggeriSven Corbinais
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.3-1
Games (G-P)9.3-11.210.2-10.2
Aces50.3
Double faults5.65.7
1st serve %69.3%60.6%
Break %48.4%45.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
12/07 David Poljak
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
23/06 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
14/06 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/06 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-9 L
09/06 Ali Habib
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
04/06 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
03/06 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/05 Lorenzo Carboni
Challenger Cervia · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
23/04 Olle Wallin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L

Sven Corbinais

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Renaud Lefevre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/09 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Plaisir
1-2 10-17 L
08/09 Damien Clerc
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-8 W
06/08 Ziga Sesko
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Filip Krolo
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 15-12 W
16/07 Yannic Nittmann
M15 Uslar
0-2 6-13 L
15/07 Peetu Pohjola
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Uslar
2-1 11-10 W
18/06 Clement Lemire
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Antoine Walch
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samuel Vincent Ruggeri vs Sven Corbinais?

Our model gives 61% to Samuel Vincent Ruggeri, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.