Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 08/09, 02:30
Prediction: Midori Castillo Meza vs Simone Kay
Team pages: Midori Castillo Meza · Simone Kay
Prediction summary
Winner
Midori Castillo Meza
Simone Kay
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Midori Castillo Meza
5-5 (W-L)
Simone Kay
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Midori Castillo Meza 1500 · Simone Kay 1509
| Midori Castillo Meza | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Simone Kay makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Midori Castillo Meza | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.1 | 9.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 52.6% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midori Castillo Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Mayu Crossley W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Hudson Hawkins UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jane Dunyon W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Madeline Cleary W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Theadora Rabman W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midori Castillo Meza vs Simone Kay?
Our model gives 67% to Midori Castillo Meza, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.