Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 17/09, 20:00
Prediction: Kailey Evans vs Kiara Zabkova
Team pages: Kailey Evans · Kiara Zabkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kailey Evans
Kiara Zabkova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kailey Evans
8-2 (W-L)
Kiara Zabkova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kailey Evans 1623 · Kiara Zabkova 1531
| Kailey Evans | Kiara Zabkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kailey Evans (rating 1623 vs 1531).
- Kailey Evans is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kailey Evans | Kiara Zabkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.7 | 10.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kailey Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Renee Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Kiara Zabkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sophia Bergqvist W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Nora Syrtveit W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Linda Sevcikova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Kali Supova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Mirjana Jovanovic UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/02 | Claudia Hoste Ferrer UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 27/02 | Melissa Boyden UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kailey Evans vs Kiara Zabkova?
Our model gives 75% to Kailey Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.