Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 17/09, 20:00
Prediction: Simone Kay vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Simone Kay · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Simone Kay
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Simone Kay
4-6 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simone Kay 1543 · Marley Lambert 1355
| Simone Kay | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simone Kay (rating 1543 vs 1355).
- Simone Kay is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Simone Kay | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.1-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.2 | 6.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 47.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ingrid C Millan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Midori Castillo Meza UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Anna Linn Moll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Yuyun Chen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simone Kay vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 81% to Simone Kay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.