Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 16/09, 20:00
Prediction: Dia Evtimova vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Dia Evtimova · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Dia Evtimova
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dia Evtimova
4-6 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dia Evtimova 1498 · Marley Lambert 1354
| Dia Evtimova | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dia Evtimova (rating 1498 vs 1354).
- Dia Evtimova is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Dia Evtimova | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.1-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.3 | 5.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 47.6% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dia Evtimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/09 | June Bjork UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Sofia Thorne UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Arina Bulatova W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Anna Linn Moll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Yuyun Chen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dia Evtimova vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 75% to Dia Evtimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.