Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 17/09, 03:30
Prediction: Simone Kay vs Olive Maunupau
Team pages: Simone Kay · Olive Maunupau
Prediction summary
Winner
Simone Kay
Olive Maunupau
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Simone Kay
4-6 (W-L)
Olive Maunupau
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simone Kay 1527 · Olive Maunupau 1421
| Simone Kay | Olive Maunupau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simone Kay (rating 1527 vs 1421).
- Simone Kay is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Simone Kay makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Olive Maunupau makes many double faults (10.7/match).
Statistics
| Simone Kay | Olive Maunupau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 10.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 10.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ingrid C Millan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Midori Castillo Meza UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Hudson Hawkins UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Olive Maunupau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Maia Loureiro UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Zoya Chulak UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Fredrika Runstrom UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Audrey Spencer UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/04 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 03/04 | Sara Conde UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/04 | Zora Koenig UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/04 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simone Kay vs Olive Maunupau?
Our model gives 73% to Simone Kay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.