Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 08/09, 02:30
Prediction: Lily Fairclough vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova
Team pages: Lily Fairclough · Yelyzaveta Chainykova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lily Fairclough
Yelyzaveta Chainykova
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lily Fairclough
5-5 (W-L)
Yelyzaveta Chainykova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lily Fairclough 1535 · Yelyzaveta Chainykova 1553
| Lily Fairclough | Yelyzaveta Chainykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yelyzaveta Chainykova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Lily Fairclough | Yelyzaveta Chainykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.3 | 10.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Yilin Yan UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Isabel Cairns UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Julie Adele Bedard UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Violet Apisah W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolann Delaunay W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jasmine Adams W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Yelyzaveta Chainykova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Arina Arifullina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Francesca Dell'edera W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Sorana Matis W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Chahd Tourkhani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Eva Lopez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Georgiana Mititelu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lily Fairclough vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova?
Our model gives 57% to Lily Fairclough, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.