Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 07/09, 22:00
Prediction: Adrien Jonah Abarca vs Alan Bojarski
Team pages: Adrien Jonah Abarca · Alan Bojarski
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Alan Bojarski
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Jonah Abarca
5-5 (W-L)
Alan Bojarski
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Jonah Abarca 1482 · Alan Bojarski 1448
| Adrien Jonah Abarca | Alan Bojarski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adrien Jonah Abarca | Alan Bojarski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.5 | 9.6-11.9 |
| Aces | – | 0.9 |
| Double faults | – | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | – | 62.2% |
| Break % | – | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/04 | Andrew Li UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/04 | Evan Shamlian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alan Bojarski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Mikolaj Borkowski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/11 | Matyas Fuele ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 20/11 | Arthur Nagel ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Jeremy Schifris ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/11 | Millen Hurrion M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Michel Hopp M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Jonah Abarca vs Alan Bojarski?
Our model gives 65% to Alan Bojarski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.