Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 07/09, 20:30
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Leo Pade
Team pages: Alejandro Moreno · Leo Pade
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Leo Pade
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
6-4 (W-L)
Leo Pade
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1495 · Leo Pade 1497
| Alejandro Moreno | Leo Pade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alejandro Moreno makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Leo Pade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.7 | 11.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jon Gamble M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Leo Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Parker Mariencheck UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Iker Urribarrens UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | William McEwan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/01 | Claudio Renardi Lumanau ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Leo Pade?
Our model gives 64% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.