Tennis · Challenger Porto · 05/09, 12:00
Prediction: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Pedro Vives Marcos · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Vives Marcos
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Vives Marcos
6-4 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Vives Marcos 1588 · Hugo Dellien 1550
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-11.6 | 10.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Vives Marcos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Joao Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Moez Echargui US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Michele Ribecai ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Vives Marcos vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 62% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.