Tennis · Challenger Porto · 04/09, 13:00
Prediction: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Pedro Vives Marcos · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Vives Marcos
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Vives Marcos
5-5 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Vives Marcos
0–1
Alejandro Moro Canas
(1 last)
- 21 Aug1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Vives Marcos 1586 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1527
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1586 vs 1527).
- Head-to-head: Pedro Vives Marcos 0–1 Alejandro Moro Canas (1).
Statistics
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (6) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.6 | 11.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Pedro Vives Marcos 0 – 1 Alejandro Moro Canas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Vives Marcos 0–1 Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 M25 Santander | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Vives Marcos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Joao Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 55% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.