Tennis · Challenger Porto · 04/09, 15:30

Prediction: Miguel Damas vs Hugo Dellien

Team pages: Miguel Damas · Hugo Dellien

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Miguel Damas Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Damas 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLWW
Hugo Dellien 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miguel Damas 1502 · Hugo Dellien 1525
Miguel DamasHugo Dellien
Our model47%53%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Miguel DamasHugo Dellien
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.6-12.611-10.3
Aces1.12
Double faults32.8
1st serve %57.1%65.8%
Break %43.5%39.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miguel Damas

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-17 W
01/09 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 15-16 W
26/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
24/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
21/07 Mika Brunold
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Thomas Faurel
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
12/07 Nikola Slavic
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Hugo Dellien

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/08 Federico Cina
US Open · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
26/08 Moez Echargui
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
12/08 Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
01/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
28/07 Pedro Martinez
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Laslo Djere
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/07 Michele Ribecai
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Matyas Fuele
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 13-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miguel Damas vs Hugo Dellien?

Our model gives 65% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.