Tennis · Challenger Porto · 05/09, 13:05
Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Mena
Team pages: Gustavo Heide · Facundo Mena
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Facundo Mena
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
5-5 (W-L)
Facundo Mena
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1530 · Facundo Mena 1562
| Gustavo Heide | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11 | 10.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Mena?
Our model gives 62% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.