Tennis · M15 Trelew · 04/09, 19:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Team pages: Lorenzo Gagliardo · Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Gagliardo
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1517 · Federico Aguilar Cardozo 1520
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 10.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 53% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Gagliardo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Gay M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Gonzalo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 02/09 | Nicolas Alberto Jara Lozano M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 13/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Andre Souza M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo?
Our model gives 53% to Lorenzo Gagliardo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.