Tennis · M15 Trelew · 04/09, 21:00
Prediction: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Felix Corwin
Team pages: Carlos Maria Zarate · Felix Corwin
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Maria Zarate
Felix Corwin
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Maria Zarate
7-3 (W-L)
Felix Corwin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Maria Zarate 1607 · Felix Corwin 1537
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1607 vs 1537).
- Felix Corwin dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 55.7% break avg.
- Note: Felix Corwin makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.6 | 11.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Felix Corwin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Tomas Martinez M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Noah Schachter M15 Trelew |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 01/09 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Colson Wells M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Frusina M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Maria Zarate vs Felix Corwin?
Our model gives 55% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.