Tennis · M15 Trelew · 02/09, 15:00
Prediction: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Giovanni Branchetti
Team pages: Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Maria Zarate
Giovanni Branchetti
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Maria Zarate
6-4 (W-L)
Giovanni Branchetti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Maria Zarate 1614 · Giovanni Branchetti 1542
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Giovanni Branchetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1614 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Giovanni Branchetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.8 | 11.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Giovanni Branchetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Trier |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Stevan Popovic M15 Trier |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Hanu Patel M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/07 | Arian Barbic M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Julien Penzlin M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Maria Zarate vs Giovanni Branchetti?
Our model gives 71% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.