Tennis · M15 Trelew · 01/09, 22:30

Prediction: Santiago Giamichelle vs Jackson Ross

Team pages: Santiago Giamichelle

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Santiago Giamichelle Jackson Ross
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Giamichelle 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWL
Jackson Ross 1-9 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Giamichelle 1494 · Jackson Ross 1429
Santiago GiamichelleJackson Ross
Our model59%41%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Giamichelle (rating 1494 vs 1429).

Statistics

Santiago GiamichelleJackson Ross
Win %40%20%
Win % · Hard 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.4-1.6
Games (G-P)9.1-9.86.6-10.9
Aces1.31.8
Double faults2.63.3
1st serve %61.3%57.6%
Break %51.8%33.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Giamichelle

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 8-13 L
26/08 Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-9 W
18/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Santiago Pesino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 9-8 L
16/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 9-13 L
14/07 Ezequiel Monferrer
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 8-6 W
13/07 Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 4-12 L
09/06 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 13-17 L

Jackson Ross

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Bastian Malla
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
27/10 Volodymyr Gurenko
ITF M15 Trois-Rivieres
0-2 6-12 L
21/10 Joshua Peck
ITF M25 Norman · Hard
0-1 11-13 L
04/10 Bruno Nhavene
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
03/10 Ilias Hirani Worthington
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-1 15-9 W
02/10 Luke Bracks
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/10 Hank Trondson
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Giamichelle vs Jackson Ross?

Our model gives 74% to Santiago Giamichelle, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.