Tennis · M15 Wuning · 03/09, 05:30

Prediction: Zak Talic vs Kristjan Tamm

Team pages: Zak Talic · Kristjan Tamm

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Zak Talic Kristjan Tamm
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Zak Talic 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLLLWW
Kristjan Tamm 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zak Talic 1443 · Kristjan Tamm 1557
Zak TalicKristjan Tamm
Our model34%66%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristjan Tamm (rating 1443 vs 1557).
  • Kristjan Tamm dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 44.1% break avg.
  • Kristjan Tamm is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Zak Talic makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Zak TalicKristjan Tamm
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.61.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-12.911.7-10.7
Aces3.36.8
Double faults4.72.1
1st serve %61.8%71.1%
Break %35.2%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zak Talic

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Stefan Vujic
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/05 Ntungamili Raguin
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 10-18 L
12/05 Thando Longwe-Smit
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
07/05 Lev Seidman
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Dylan Salton
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
30/04 Benjamin O'Connell
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/02 Harry Roberts
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/02 Corban Crowther
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/02 Wihan Van Der Merwe
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
09/02 Aryan Karnani
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-1 17-15 W

Kristjan Tamm

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Reiya Komagata
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
28/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Arthur Weber
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Ren Nakamura
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
17/08 Hugo Hashimoto
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Oscar Weightman
M15 Turku
0-2 4-12 L
12/08 Arda Azkara
M15 Turku
2-1 17-14 W
11/08 Oren Vasser
M15 Turku
2-1 15-10 W
02/08 Amit Vales
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zak Talic vs Kristjan Tamm?

Our model gives 79% to Kristjan Tamm, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.